Gregor Zens
I am a research scholar at the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), where I am part of the Population and Just Societies (POPJUS) program. Previously, I worked at the Bocconi Institute for Data Science and Analytics (BIDSA) with Daniele Durante and at the Institute for Statistics and Mathematics at WU Vienna with Sylvia Frühwirth-Schnatter. I obtained my PhD in economics with a focus on Bayesian econometrics at WU Vienna, under the supervision of Jésus Crespo Cuaresma and Sylvia Frühwirth-Schnatter and have also served as a statistical consultant for the International Bank of Reconstruction and Development and the International Finance Corporation within the World Bank Group.
Research Focus
My research focus is on developing empirical models to analyze social science phenomena, often using Bayesian methods. I predominantly collaborate with economists, statisticians, climate researchers and demographers, preferably focusing on applications connected to human development. Methodologically, my main interest lies in econometrics and statistics, with an emphasis on applied probabilistic modeling and computational methods. See below for some on-going and past projects.
Current Preprints
Hidden in Plain Sight: Influential sets in linear
regression models. [updated
pdf, WP]
with Nikolas Kuschnig (WU Vienna) and
Jésus
Crespo Cuaresma (WU Vienna).
(Submitted)
Subnational Variations in the Quality of Population
Health Data: A Geospatial Analysis of Household Surveys in
Africa. [WP]
with Andrew
Tatem (University of Southampton, WorldPop), Patrick
Webb (Tufts University), Amelia
Finaret (Allegheny College), Valentin
Seidler (WU Vienna) and more
(Submitted)
Selected Work-in-Progress
The Relationship Between Conflict and Displacement:
Bayesian Modeling of Disaggregate Data From Somalia.
with
Lisa
Thalheimer (Princeton University, United Nations University)
(Submitted)
Bayesian Network Modeling of Crime Data.
with Daniele Durante
(Bocconi University), Eleonora
Patacchini (Cornell University) and Carlos Díaz
(Universidad Católica del Uruguay)
Addressing Model Uncertainty in Latent Variable Network
Models.
with Mark
Steel (University of Warwick)
Publications in Peer-Reviewed Journals
Ultimate Pólya Gamma Samplers - Efficient MCMC for
possibly imbalanced binary and categorical data. [link,
pre-print]
Journal
of the American Statistical Association, in Press.
with Sylvia
Frühwirth-Schnatter (WU Vienna) and Helga
Wagner (JKU Linz).
The heterogeneous impact of monetary policy on the US
labor market. [link]
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2020.
with Maximilian Böck (WU
Vienna) and Thomas
Zörner (WU Vienna).
Land and Poverty: The Role of Soil Fertility and
Vegetation Quality in Poverty Reduction. [link]
Environment and Development Economics, 2020.
with Martin Heger
(World Bank) and Mook
Bangalore (London School of Economics).
Bayesian Shrinkage in Mixture-of-Experts Models:
Identifying Robust Determinants of Class Membership.
Advances in Data Analysis and Classification, 2019.
Master’s
Thesis.
Awards, Fellowships, Travel Grants
Software
Newspapers, Blogs, General Audience
(In German only, sorry!)
Ausserirdische
Ökonomische Daten.
On satellite-based economic research.
derStandard.at, January 2020.
Wie
wir unbewusst dabei helfen, die Zukunft vorherzusagen.
On
internet-based data sources. derStandard.at, December 2019.
Soziale
Leiter: Können Arme reich und Reiche arm werden?.
On social
mobility perceptions. derStandard.at, July 2019.
Presentations at Conferences, Seminars and
Workshops
Academic Visits
Teaching & Thesis Supervision
I have taught several B.Sc. level courses on basic econometrics and linear modeling, on economic development, economic growth and on macroeconomic theory. I have also held M.Sc. level lectures on macroeconometric methods with a focus on Bayesian computation. In addition, I have supervised a number of bachelor’s and master’s theses from the realm of empirical economics; topics included for instance The importance of digitized government-to-person (G2P) payments for women’s financial inclusion in developing countries and Nowcasting GDP growth in Austria via the construction of a daily economic sentiment index using Google Trends.
Contact
zens [at] iiasa.ac.at
International Institute for Applied
Systems Analysis
Schlossplatz 1, 2361 Laxenburg