Gregor Zens
I am affiliated with the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), where I am part of the Population and Just Societies (POPJUS) program. Previously, I worked at the Bocconi Institute for Data Science and Analytics (BIDSA) with Daniele Durante and at the Institute for Statistics and Mathematics at WU Vienna with Sylvia Frühwirth-Schnatter. I obtained my PhD in economics with a focus on Bayesian econometrics at WU Vienna, under the supervision of Jésus Crespo Cuaresma and Sylvia Frühwirth-Schnatter and have also served as a statistical consultant for the International Bank of Reconstruction and Development and the International Finance Corporation within the World Bank Group.
Research Focus
My research focuses on developing and applying quantitative models to analyze social science phenomena. I collaborate with economists, climate researchers, and demographers, focusing on applications related to human mobility, statistical demography and development issues. Methodologically, I am particularly interested in Bayesian methods, with an emphasis on high-dimensional models and computational techniques. Below are some of my current and past projects.
Preprints and Selected Work in Progress
Bayesian Matrix Factor Models for Demographic Analysis Across Age and Time.
[arXiv]Low-Rank Bilinear Autoregressive Models for Three-Way Criminal Activity Tensors.
with Daniele Durante (Bocconi University), Eleonora Patacchini (Cornell University) and Carlos Díaz (Universidad Católica del Uruguay)
[arXiv]Hidden in Plain Sight: Influential Sets in Linear Regression Models.
with Nikolas Kuschnig (WU Vienna) and Jésus Crespo Cuaresma (WU Vienna).
[updated pdf, WP]
Peer-Reviewed Publications
Journal Articles
Model Uncertainty in Latent Gaussian Models with Univariate Link Function.
M.F.J. Steel and G. Zens (2025+).
Bayesian Analysis, Accepted.
[arXiv, R package]Flexible Bayesian Modeling of Age-Specific Counts in Many Demographic Subpopulations.
G. Zens (2025+).
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series A (Statistics in Society), Accepted.
[arXiv]Subnational Variations in the Quality of Household Survey Data in Sub-Saharan Africa.
V. Seidler, E. C. Utazi, A. B. Finaret, S. Luckeneder, G. Zens, … & P. Webb (2025).
Nature Communications, 16(1), 3771.
[journal, explorer]The Short-Term Dynamics of Conflict-Driven Displacement: Bayesian Modeling of Disaggregated Data from Somalia.
G. Zens and L. Thalheimer (2025).
The Annals of Applied Statistics, 19(1), 286-301.
[journal, pdf]Interrelated Drivers of Migration Intentions in Africa: Evidence from Afrobarometer Surveys.
R. Hoffman and G. Zens (2024).
Environmental Development, 52, 101096.
[journal]Ultimate Pólya Gamma Samplers - Efficient MCMC for possibly imbalanced binary and categorical data.
G. Zens, S. Frühwirth-Schnatter & H. Wagner (2024).
Journal of the American Statistical Association, 119(548), 2548–2559.
[journal, arXiv, R package]The Heterogeneous Impact of Monetary Policy on the US Labor Market.
G. Zens, M. Böck & T.O. Zörner (2020).
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 119, 103989.
[journal]Land and Poverty: The Role of Soil Fertility and Vegetation Quality in Poverty Reduction.
M. P. Heger, G. Zens & M. Bangalore (2020).
Environment and development economics, 25(4), 315-333.
[journal]Bayesian Shrinkage in Mixture-of-Experts Models: Identifying Robust Determinants of Class Membership.
G. Zens (2019).
Advances in Data Analysis and Classification, 13(4), 1019-1051.
Discussions
- Discussion on Sparse Bayesian Factor Analysis When the Number of Factors Is Unknown by Frühwirth-Schnatter S., Hosszejni D., and Freitas Lopes H.
A. Avalos-Pacheco, R. de Vito, & G. Zens (2025).
Bayesian Analysis, 20(1): 213-344.
[journal]
Software
- R Package
LatentBMA
for model averaging in latent Gaussian models, currently in v0.1.2.
[CRAN, vignette, methods paper] - R Package
UPG
for efficient Bayesian logistic regression, currently in v0.3.4.
[CRAN, vignette, methods paper]
Newspapers, Blogs, General Audience
(In German only, sorry!)
Ausserirdische Ökonomische Daten.
On satellite-based economic research. derStandard.at, January 2020.Wie wir unbewusst dabei helfen, die Zukunft vorherzusagen.
On internet-based data sources. derStandard.at, December 2019.Soziale Leiter: Können Arme reich und Reiche arm werden?.
On social mobility perceptions. derStandard.at, July 2019.
Presentations at Conferences, Seminars and Workshops
- 8th Symposium on Games and Decisions in Reliability and Risk. (Milan, 05/2025)
- PAA 2025 Annual Meeting. (Washington, D.C., 04/2025)
- Bayesian Young Statisticians Meeting 2025. (Online, 04/2025)
- Complexity Science Hub Talk. (Vienna, 12/2024)
- IFAS Research Seminar. (Linz, 11/2024)
- CPC-CG Research Seminar. (Southampton, 10/2024)
- ISBA World Meeting 2024. (Venice, 07/2024)
- European Population Conference 2024. (Edinburgh, 06/2024)
- Austrian & Czech Statistical Days 2024. (Vienna, 04/2024)
- IUSSP Workshop ‘Population and Conflict’. (Southampton, 03/2024)
- 16th International Conference on Computational and Methodological Statistics. (Berlin, 12/2023)
- Wittgenstein Centre Conference 2023 ‘Exploring Population Heterogeneities’. (Vienna, 12/2023)
- Austrian Statistical Days 2023. (Vienna, 10/2023)
- eXplore! Workshop ‘Climate change, mobility and vulnerable populations in complex systems’. (Vienna, 07/2023)
- GENPOP/POPCLIMA Seminar Series, Department of Statistics, University of Bologna. (Bologna, 10/2022)
- 1st Bergamo Workshop in Econometrics and Statistics. (Bergamo, 09/2022)
- SELECT Workshop ‘Climbing Mortality Models’. (Misurina, 08/2022)
- eXplore! Workshop ‘Migration Modelling and Climate Change Research’. (Vienna, 08/2022)
- ISBA World Meeting 2022. (Montréal, 06/2022)
- Austrian & Slovenian Statistical Days 2022. (Graz, 04/2022)
- 5th International Conference on Econometrics and Statistics. (Online, 06/2022)
- Reading Group, Department of Decision Sciences, Bocconi University. (Milan, 02/2022)
- 15th International Conference on Computational and Financial Econometrics. (Online, 12/2021)
- Bayesian Young Statisticians Meeting 2021. (Online, 09/2021)
- 11th European Seminar on Bayesian Econometrics. (Madrid, 09/2021)
- ISBA Mirror Workshop @ CIRM. (Marseille, 06/2021)
- ISBA World Meeting 2021. (Online, 06/2021)
- 4th International Conference on Econometrics and Statistics. (Online, 06/2021)
- Annual Meeting of the Austrian Economic Association (NOeG 2021). (Online, 06/2021)
- Bayes@Austria Workshop. (Online, 11/2020)
- Annual Meeting of the Austrian Economic Association (NOeG 2020). (Vienna, 02/2020)
- 10th European Seminar on Bayesian Econometrics. (St. Andrews, 09/2019)
- 3rd International Conference on Econometrics and Statistics. (Taichung, 06/2019)
- 6th WU Workshop in Applied Econometrics (WUWAETRIX VI). (Vienna, 06/2018)
Awards, Fellowships, Travel Grants
- Award of Excellence / State Prize for Dissertations of the Austrian Federal Ministry of Education, Science and Research, 2022
- Best Student/Postdoc Contributed Paper Award, ISBA World Meeting 2021
- ISBA - EFaB Young Researcher Award, European Seminar on Bayesian Econometrics 2021
- WU International Research Fellowship, 2021
- Dissertation Fellowship of the Austrian Economic Association, 2020
Academic Visits
- Department of Statistics, University of Warwick. Hosted by Mark Steel. 09/2021.
Teaching & Thesis Supervision
I have taught several undergraduate courses on econometrics, data science methods, economic development, economic growth, and macroeconomic theory. Additionally, I have delivered graduate-level lectures on macroeconometric methods, focusing on Bayesian computation. I have also supervised several bachelor’s and master’s theses and regularly supervise PhD students in the course of academic summer programs. Examples of past thesis topics include “The importance of digitized government-to-person (G2P) payments for women’s financial inclusion in developing countries” and “Nowcasting GDP growth in Austria via the construction of a daily economic sentiment index using Google Trends”.
Contact
zens [at] iiasa.ac.at
International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis
Population and Just Societies Program
Schlossplatz 1, 2361 Laxenburg, Austria